IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Alex Laurenza Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-02-24 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 53 24 25 49 0.924 0.2777 0.2936 0.6328 0.6691
2023-24 Austin Bruins NAHL 59 15 27 42 0.712 0.2821 0.2925 0.7474 0.7750
2024-25 Austin Bruins NAHL 55 36 46 82 1.491 0.5907 0.5815 1.5653 1.5409
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Union D1 ECAC FR 32 4 15 19 0.594
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.40
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.59
2025-26 · Union
+48.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
55%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7876
Forward overall
#303
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Michael Vecchione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Dominik Shine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.90 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG
Chad McDonald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Biggs
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Miami (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Average
NCAAe PPG
Phil Marinaccio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tyler Miller
St. Scholastica · 2008-09
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2018-19
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Bloom
New England · 2012-13
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.