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Colten Nestler Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-03-17 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Fargo Shanley (N.D.) USHS-MN 1 0 0 0 0.000
2021-22 Fargo Shanley (N.D.) USHS-MN 4 0 4 4 1.000 0.1266 0.1266 0.2429 0.2429
2022-23 Fargo Shanley (N.D.) USHS-MN 3 1 1 2 0.667 0.0844 0.0844 0.1619 0.1619
2023-24 Minnesota Wilderness NAHL 26 1 2 3 0.115 0.0424 0.0441 0.1218 0.1266
2024-25 Kenai River Brown Bears NAHL 46 5 5 10 0.217 0.0799 0.0789 0.2295 0.2266
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Concordia D3 MIAC FR 16 1 0 1 0.062
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2025-26 · Concordia
+12.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

15%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#53285
Forward overall
#3684
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Aurora · 2016-17
0.481 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Assumption · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint John's · 2014-15
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.