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Kyle Smolen Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-06-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Fargo Force USHL 35 1 4 5 0.143 0.0843 0.0843 0.4292 0.4292
2020-21 Fargo Force USHL 46 7 1 8 0.174 0.1026 0.1026 0.5223 0.5223
2021-22 Fargo Force USHL 52 8 17 25 0.481 0.2836 0.2719 1.4440 1.3842
2022-23 Fargo Force USHL 59 17 22 39 0.661 0.3899 0.3535 1.9852 1.7999
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC JR 35 7 13 20 0.571
2024-25 Arizona State D1 NCHC SR 35 12 18 30 0.857
2023-24 Arizona State D1 NCHC JR 36 7 9 16 0.444
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.44
2023-24 · Arizona State
+61.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

75%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#15811
Forward overall
#819
Forward born in 2002
#1528
in USHL

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Adrian · 2006-07
1.586 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lebanon Valley · 2014-15
0.773 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.