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Joe Kelly Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-04-04 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Chippewa Steel NAHL 57 15 10 25 0.439 0.1558 0.1619 0.4605 0.4785
2022-23 Chippewa Steel NAHL 59 10 12 22 0.373 0.1325 0.1312 0.3915 0.3876
2023-24 Chippewa Steel NAHL 57 15 18 33 0.579 0.2056 0.1937 0.6078 0.5726
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bethel D3 MIAC SO 24 5 3 8 0.333
2024-25 Bethel D3 MIAC — 24 2 1 3 0.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2024-25 · Bethel
-13.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
18%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#36318
Forward overall
#2237
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Connor Woolley
Salem State · 2018-19
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Sebastian Panetta
SUNY Geneseo · 2005-06
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Cody Ganchar
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2011-12
0.862 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.