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Isaac Howard Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-03-30 Country: USA
2022 · Round 1, Pick #31  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — NTDP-U18 51 32 41 73 1.431 1.0640 1.0640 5.3675 5.3675
2021-22 — NTDP-U18 60 33 49 82 1.367 1.0159 0.9890 5.1249 4.9893
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 37 26 26 52 1.405
2023-24 Michigan D1 BigTen — 36 8 28 36 1.000
2022-23 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC — 35 6 11 17 0.486
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.98
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.49
2022-23 · Minnesota Duluth
-50.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 24 comparables)

⭐ Elite profile — high probability of D1 placement; comparable to top-end prospects
79%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
21%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1994
Forward overall
#23
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Taylor Cammarata
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.58 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.98 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Justin Kloos
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.61 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.93 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.