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Justin Hogan Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1990-08-28 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2006-07 Manitoulin Islanders NOJHL 48 19 24 43 0.896 0.1510 0.1733 0.3722 0.4271
2008-09 Milton Menace OJHL 35 14 20 34 0.971 0.2714 0.2775 0.6704 0.6855
2009-10 — BCHL 56 15 29 44 0.786 0.3058 0.3018 1.1458 1.1306
2010-11 Brooks Bandits AJHL 33 5 31 36 1.091 0.3644 0.3426 1.0127 0.9522
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2014-15 Utica D3 UCHC SR 26 4 13 17 0.654
2013-14 Utica D3 UCHC JR 21 5 5 10 0.476
2012-13 Utica D3 UCHC SO 19 2 6 8 0.421
2011-12 Utica D3 — FR 22 3 8 11 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2011-12 · Utica
+79.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#11339
Forward overall
#491
Forward born in 1990

D1 Comparables

Beau Walker
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Sacred Heart (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trevor Geiger
St. Scholastica · 2004-05
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Malcolm Arseneau
Fredonia · 2018-19
0.818 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Williams
Marian · 2008-09
1.148 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.