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Connor Welsh Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-02 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Brunswick NE-Prep 30 3 8 11 0.367 0.1034 0.1034 0.1678 0.1678
2020-21 Sioux City Musketeers USHL 1 0 0 0 0.000
2021-22 USHL 48 4 4 8 0.167 0.1025 0.1062 0.4911 0.5086
2022-23 BCHL 32 2 7 9 0.281 0.1047 0.1053 0.4097 0.4121
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Holy Cross D1 AHA 36 8 8 16 0.444
2024-25 Holy Cross D1 AHA 33 0 3 3 0.091
2023-24 Holy Cross D1 AHA 13 0 1 1 0.077
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.08
2023-24 · Holy Cross
-14.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#45825
Forward overall
#3090
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Brown (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Colgate
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.08 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Suffolk · 2008-09
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Geneseo · 2005-06
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Becker · 2016-17
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.