IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jakob Stender Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-08-07 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 — NAHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 53 4 18 22 0.415 0.1645 0.1645 — —
2021-22 Fargo Force USHL 62 3 18 21 0.339 0.2082 0.2010 0.9979 0.9634
2022-23 Fargo Force USHL 58 7 17 24 0.414 0.2544 0.2324 1.2191 1.1136
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 40 4 5 9 0.225
2025-26 Minnesota State D1 CCHA JR 40 4 5 9 0.225
2024-25 Minnesota D1 BigTen SR 37 3 2 5 0.135
2023-24 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 27 0 4 4 0.148
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.15
2023-24 · Minnesota
-28.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5617
Defenseman overall
#1419
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Krug
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Union (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Paul
Bethel · 2008-09
0.960 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dylan Bengtson
New England · 2014-15
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Kerry Barchan
Buffalo State · 2006-07
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.