IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Connor Pelc Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-04-28 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 4 1 0 1 0.250 0.0751 0.0751 0.1711 0.1711
2020-21 New Jersey Jr. Titans NAHL 39 4 8 12 0.308 0.1219 0.1219 — —
2021-22 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 45 4 2 6 0.133 0.0819 0.0820 0.3927 0.3933
2022-23 — USHL 36 1 4 5 0.139 0.0854 0.0811 0.4092 0.3886
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SR 21 1 2 3 0.143
2024-25 Mercyhurst D1 AHA JR 28 2 5 7 0.250
2023-24 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SO 29 1 4 5 0.172
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.07
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.17
2023-24 · Mercyhurst
+147.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#48271
Forward overall
#3216
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Mike Robinson
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.19 PPG
→ New Hampshire
0.10 No data
NCAAe PPG
William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Owen Campbell
Skidmore · 2015-16
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Timothy Drevitch
Worcester State · 2016-17
0.818 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Cayemberg
Wisconsin-Stout · 2011-12
0.320 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.