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Owen Baker Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-29 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 62 10 11 21 0.339 0.1998 0.2077 1.0163 1.0563
2022-23 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 62 11 30 41 0.661 0.3901 0.3852 1.9844 1.9594
2023-24 Bloomington Jefferson USHS-MN 26 8 6 14 0.538 0.0682 0.0682 0.1307 0.1307
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Michigan Tech D1 CCHA — 7 0 2 2 0.286
2024-25 Michigan Tech D1 CCHA — 33 3 2 5 0.151
2023-24 Michigan D1 BigTen — 7 1 1 2 0.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2023-24 · Michigan
+6.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
60%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#25639
Forward overall
#1445
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Ryan Fitzgerald
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.12 PPG
→ Boston College (0.72 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Cédric Lacroix
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.13 PPG
→ Maine (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Bo Pieper
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.19 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matt Gaudreau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Boston College (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Daniel Nachbaur
UMass Boston · 2013-14
0.350 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Christian Cella
SUNY Morrisville · 2015-16
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Cory Harder
St. Norbert · 2004-05
0.438 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.