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Ethan Elias Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-04-03 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Maple Grove USHS-MN 31 6 12 18 0.581 0.1563 0.1563 0.1410 0.1410
2020-21 Tri-City Storm USHL 8 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Omaha Lancers USHL 57 3 14 17 0.298 0.1833 0.1830 0.8786 0.8770
2022-23 Madison Capitols USHL 52 8 11 19 0.365 0.2246 0.2125 1.0765 1.0186
2023-24 Madison Capitols USHL 53 2 11 13 0.245 0.1508 0.1352 0.7227 0.6479
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lindenwood D1 CCHA SO 30 1 14 15 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2025-26 · Lindenwood
+218.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7857
Defenseman overall
#1834
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Mark Menzies
St. Scholastica · 2004-05
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Francone
Lake Forest · 2000-01
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Logan Ganz
Wisconsin-Eau Claire · 2024-25
0.840 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.