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Nolan Welsh Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-06-23 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Victoria Grizzlies BCHL 52 0 11 11 0.211 0.0815 0.0881 0.3082 0.3332
2017-18 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 58 3 10 13 0.224 0.0863 0.0892 0.3265 0.3373
2018-19 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 43 5 15 20 0.465 0.1792 0.1755 0.6777 0.6636
2019-20 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 46 14 25 39 0.848 0.3267 0.3267 1.2353 1.2353
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 32 6 9 15 0.469
2022-23 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 32 5 12 17 0.531
2021-22 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA — 33 5 8 13 0.394
2020-21 LIU D1 — FR 12 3 4 7 0.583
2020-21 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA FR 12 3 4 7 0.583
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.58
2020-21 · LIU
+383.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#25487
Forward overall
#1300
Forward born in 1999
#1363
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matt Pohlkamp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alfred Larsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tanner Pond
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trent Cassan
SUNY Geneseo · 2002-03
0.821 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Steve Schroeder
Norwich · 2007-08
0.742 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Cameron Weitzman
Albertus Magnus · 2018-19
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.