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Josh Zary Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-10-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — BCHL 17 4 2 6 0.353 0.1360 0.1489 0.5136 0.5623
2019-20 Alberni Valley Bulldogs BCHL 50 10 10 20 0.400 0.1541 0.1541 0.5821 0.5821
2021-22 Alberni Valley Bulldogs BCHL 51 26 29 55 1.078 0.4155 0.3923 1.5694 1.4818
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Ferris State D1 CCHA SR 36 13 7 20 0.556
2024-25 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA GR 29 12 7 19 0.655
2023-24 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA SR 35 20 14 34 0.971
2022-23 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA JR 28 12 5 17 0.607
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.61
2022-23 · Long Island Univ.
+140.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

60%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#20291
Forward overall
#974
Forward born in 2001
#976
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Bradley Somers
Adrian · 2021-22
0.871 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Gage Dill
Curry · 2021-22
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Van Natter
Manhattanville · 2009-10
0.857 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.