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Charlie Cerrato Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-03-10 Country: USA
2025 · Round 2, Pick #49  ·  Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — NTDP-U18 33 5 9 14 0.424 0.3153 0.3219 1.5829 1.6158
2022-23 — NTDP-U18 55 9 22 31 0.564 0.4189 0.4055 2.1030 2.0359
2023-24 Youngstown Phantoms USHL 45 12 38 50 1.111 0.6554 0.6510 3.3371 3.3148
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Penn State D1 BigTen SO 23 7 20 27 1.174
2024-25 Penn State D1 BigTen — 38 15 27 42 1.105
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.51
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.11
2024-25 · Penn State
+114.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

90%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Peter Quenneville
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.80 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Toninato
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dennis Kravchenko
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ UMass (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Frank Vatrano
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ UMass
0.58 No data
NCAAe PPG
C.J. Suess
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.