← New Search ↗ Social Card

Gavin McCarthy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-06-02 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 USHL 53 2 11 13 0.245 0.1562 0.1728 0.7351 0.8134
2022-23 USHL 42 8 19 27 0.643 0.4094 0.4317 1.9266 2.0315
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Boston University D1 HockeyEast 36 4 17 21 0.583
2024-25 Boston University D1 HockeyEast 39 3 13 16 0.410
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.41
2024-25 · Boston University
+32.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1332
Defenseman overall
#523
Defenseman born in 2005
#1604
in USHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Cornell
0.44 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ Michigan (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

New England · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2002-03
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryn Athyn · 2014-15
0.778 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.