IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Luke Lavery Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-01 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 20 3 8 11 0.550 0.2119 0.2119 0.8004 0.8004
2021-22 — BCHL 38 4 9 13 0.342 0.1318 0.1429 0.4979 0.5397
2022-23 — BCHL 55 19 10 29 0.527 0.2032 0.2103 0.7674 0.7942
2023-24 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 54 22 24 46 0.852 0.3282 0.3246 1.2398 1.2263
2024-25 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 53 20 26 46 0.868 0.3344 0.3139 1.2631 1.1858
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Wisconsin-Eau Claire D3 WIAC FR 23 7 5 12 0.522
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2025-26 · Wisconsin-Eau Claire
+91.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16798
Forward overall
#823
Forward born in 2004
#693
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Hatton
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2017-18
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Quinn Tavares
Salve Regina · 2023-24
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kai Tsoar
St. John Fisher · 2024-25
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.