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Luke Lavery Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-01 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 20 3 8 11 0.550 0.2141 0.2141 0.8021 0.8021
2021-22 — BCHL 38 4 9 13 0.342 0.1331 0.1443 0.4989 0.5408
2022-23 — BCHL 55 19 10 29 0.527 0.2052 0.2124 0.7690 0.7959
2023-24 Cowichan Valley Capitals BCHL 54 22 24 46 0.852 0.3316 0.3280 1.2423 1.2288
2024-25 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 53 20 26 46 0.868 0.3378 0.3171 1.2657 1.1883
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Wisconsin-Eau Claire D3 WIAC FR 23 7 5 12 0.522
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2025-26 · Wisconsin-Eau Claire
+89.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10041
Forward overall
#424
Forward born in 2004
#730
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Beau Walker
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Sacred Heart (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jayson Angus
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cody Marooney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Hatton
Saint Mary's · 2017-18
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Yann Poirier
Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
1.030 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Dakota Dubetz
Marian · 2008-09
1.333 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.