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Tyson Dyck Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-02-06 Country: Canada
2022 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #206  ·  Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 — BCHL 6 3 2 5 0.833 0.3104 0.3104 1.2142 1.2142
2021-22 — BCHL 54 34 41 75 1.389 0.5174 0.5483 2.0238 2.1446
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Wisconsin D1 BigTen SR 26 5 10 15 0.577
2024-25 Wisconsin D1 BigTen — 37 3 10 13 0.351
2023-24 Wisconsin D1 BigTen — 28 0 9 9 0.321
2022-23 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 28 5 4 9 0.321
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.51
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2022-23 · UMass
-37.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5135
Forward overall
#144
Forward born in 2004
#44
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Evan Allen
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Developing
NCAAe PPG
John Hayden
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.83 PPG
→ Yale (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG
Vinni Lettieri
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.92 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.58 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Anthony Louis
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.82 PPG
→ Miami (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.61 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Motte
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.