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Mateo Mrsic Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-08-29 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 51 14 22 36 0.706 0.2629 0.2860 1.0286 1.1189
2022-23 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 54 13 22 35 0.648 0.2414 0.2508 0.9443 0.9809
2023-24 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 54 15 30 45 0.833 0.3104 0.3082 1.2142 1.2056
2024-25 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 53 33 37 70 1.321 0.4920 0.4638 1.9245 1.8142
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Colorado College D1 NCHC FR 23 0 1 1 0.043
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.34
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.04
2025-26 · Colorado College
-87.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9969
Forward overall
#409
Forward born in 2004
#315
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.50 No data
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Luke Moodie
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Quinn Waller
Adrian · 2006-07
1.586 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Padgeon
Anna Maria · 2018-19
0.706 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.