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Ethan Fredericks Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-11-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 48 3 7 10 0.208 0.1229 0.1328 0.6256 0.6758
2022-23 — USHL 54 13 5 18 0.333 0.1966 0.2021 1.0010 1.0292
2023-24 Omaha Lancers USHL 41 9 7 16 0.390 0.2302 0.2253 1.1719 1.1467
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast — 15 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast — 5 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#27901
Forward overall
#1623
Forward born in 2004
#2643
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Kenny Gillespie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ RPI (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Gareau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Clarkson (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Hynes
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Union (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Landon Smith
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.79 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Vieth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ikki Kogawa
Wisconsin-Superior · 2021-22
1.056 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Imala
Fitchburg State · 2021-22
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Master
Stevenson · 2017-18
1.148 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.