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Ethan Fredericks Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-11-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 48 3 7 10 0.208 0.1280 0.1383 0.6137 0.6629
2022-23 — USHL 54 13 5 18 0.333 0.2049 0.2107 0.9820 1.0097
2023-24 Omaha Lancers USHL 41 9 7 16 0.390 0.2399 0.2347 1.1496 1.1249
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast — 15 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast — 5 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#27678
Forward overall
#1603
Forward born in 2004
#2667
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Kenny Gillespie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ RPI (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Gareau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Clarkson (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Hynes
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Union (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Landon Smith
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.79 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Vieth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sean David
Canton · 2016-17
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
James Duhamel
Norwich · 2003-04
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ben Aucoin
Southern Maine · 2023-24
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.