IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jaiden Moriello Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-05-04 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Kimball Union NE-Prep 33 33 14 47 1.424 0.2821 0.2821 0.6489 0.6489
2022-23 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 54 25 30 55 1.018 0.3924 0.3817 1.4822 1.4417
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast JR 8 1 0 1 0.125
2024-25 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 2 0 0 0 0.000
2023-24 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 16 0 5 5 0.312
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.31
2023-24 · UMass Lowell
+6.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
25%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9678
Forward overall
#421
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Robbie Payne
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.12 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Heinonen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared Linnell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jay Dickman
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Bemidji State
0.36 No data
NCAAe PPG
Phil Marinaccio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Andrew Bellant
Adrian · 2016-17
1.462 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Conlan Keenan
SUNY Geneseo · 2014-15
1.296 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Cassells
Elmira · 2000-01
0.955 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.