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Caden Cranston Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-03-23 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Buffalo Stampede USPHL-Premier 44 19 44 63 1.432 0.4719 0.5080 0.4871 0.5244
2022-23 New Jersey Rockets NCDC 50 18 58 76 1.520 0.8476 0.8833 1.2291 1.2809
2023-24 Surrey Eagles BCHL 51 30 56 86 1.686 0.6281 0.6100 2.4571 2.3862
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 38 7 15 22 0.579
2024-25 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast — 35 7 10 17 0.486
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.67
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.49
2024-25 · Merrimack
-27.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
60%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3268
Forward overall
#60
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Michael Vecchione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Dominik Shine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.90 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.52 Average
NCAAe PPG
Luc Gerdes
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.58 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sam Anas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (1.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.58 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Biggs
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Miami (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Kalinowski
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.