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Francesco Dell'Elce Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-06-23 Country: Canada
2025 NHL Draft Round 3, Pick #77  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — BCHL 54 9 29 38 0.704 0.2621 0.2709 1.0254 1.0600
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass D1 HockeyEast SO 36 5 16 21 0.583
2024-25 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 40 7 17 24 0.600
2024-25 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 40 7 17 24 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2024-25 · UMass
+134.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3986
Defenseman overall
#1053
Defenseman born in 2005
#1046
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Chris Leibinger
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tyler Braccini
Bethel · 2019-20
0.727 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Parker Mismash
St. Scholastica · 2014-15
0.615 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Connor Armour
Adrian · 2012-13
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.