IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Trevor Connelly Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-02-28 Country: USA
2024 · Round 1, Pick #19  ·  Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — USHL 57 24 23 47 0.825 0.4864 0.5309 2.4766 2.7033
2023-24 Tri-City Storm USHL 52 31 47 78 1.500 0.8848 0.9219 4.5051 4.6939
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Providence D1 HockeyEast — 23 4 9 13 0.565
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.76
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.57
2024-25 · Providence
-25.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

⭐ Elite profile — high probability of D1 placement; comparable to top-end prospects
85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Taylor Cammarata
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.58 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.98 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Zach Stepan
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.39 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.60 D1 FR PPG)
0.81 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Justin Kloos
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.61 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.93 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.