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Billy Renfrew Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-08-14 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 31 5 12 17 0.548 0.2015 0.2015 0.5788 0.5788
2021-22 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 60 25 27 52 0.867 0.3184 0.3366 0.9148 0.9671
2022-23 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 48 23 32 55 1.146 0.4210 0.4244 1.0010 0.9654
2023-24 Penticton Vees BCHL 51 20 32 52 1.020 0.3929 0.3696 1.4838 1.3960
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Stonehill D1 AHA SO 35 2 16 18 0.514
2024-25 Northern Michigan D1 CCHA — 31 1 2 3 0.097
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.34
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2024-25 · Northern Michigan
-71.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9312
Forward overall
#394
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Scott Motz
Wisconsin-Stout · 2005-06
1.286 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitch Stephens
SUNY Geneseo · 2002-03
1.077 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joel Covelli
Colby · 2004-05
1.042 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.