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Joel Covelli Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1984-09-06 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2002-03 Mississauga Chargers OJHL 47 17 27 44 0.936 0.2616 0.2623 0.6461 0.6478
2003-04 Mississauga Chargers OJHL 39 15 25 40 1.026 0.2866 0.2745 0.7078 0.6779
2004-05 — OJHL 40 24 29 53 1.325 0.3702 0.3359 0.9144 0.8296
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 Amherst D3 — SR 28 4 17 21 0.750
2007-08 Amherst D3 — JR 26 11 20 31 1.192
2006-07 Amherst D3 — SO 25 11 24 35 1.400
2005-06 Colby D3 — FR 24 9 16 25 1.042
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.04
2005-06 · Colby
+290.9% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#9212
Forward overall
#321
Forward born in 1984
#362
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Beau Walker
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Sacred Heart (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jacob Mooney
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2010-11
0.630 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Adam Valadao
Curry · 2013-14
0.727 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2017-18
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.