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T.J. Lloyd Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1999-11-15 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1118 0.1283 0.3084 0.3539
2016-17 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 54 3 9 12 0.222 0.0745 0.0819 0.2056 0.2259
2017-18 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 53 4 25 29 0.547 0.1835 0.1913 0.5064 0.5279
2018-19 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 53 11 34 45 0.849 0.2848 0.2831 0.7858 0.7811
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA — 34 3 16 19 0.559
2022-23 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA — 34 3 13 16 0.471
2021-22 Bowling Green D1 CCHA JR 35 1 12 13 0.371
2020-21 Bowling Green D1 WCHA SO 31 0 14 14 0.452
2019-20 Bowling Green D1 WCHA FR 38 3 8 11 0.289
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2019-20 · Bowling Green
+24.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
15%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6762
Defenseman overall
#1468
Defenseman born in 1999
#843
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Nelson Armstrong
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Dakota Mermis
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Denver (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Gluchowski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.40 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick DeSousa
Neumann · 2009-10
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Dillon Henningson
Manhattanville · 2004-05
0.765 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dylan Hutton
Concordia · 2011-12
0.867 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.