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John McNelis Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-01-09 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
UMass
Verbal HockeyEast D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 3 0 1 1 0.333 0.1966 0.2133 1.0010 1.0858
2023-24 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 62 18 20 38 0.613 0.3615 0.3742 1.8408 1.9053
2024-25 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 53 18 25 43 0.811 0.4786 0.4710 2.4367 2.3978
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Boston University D1 HockeyEast FR 19 1 4 5 0.263
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.37
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2025-26 · Boston University
-28.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

98%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7331
Forward overall
#199
Forward born in 2006
#534
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Zeb Knutson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.82 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Iafallo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Papa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Adam Gilmour
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Boston College (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Average
NCAAe PPG
Joe Gambardella
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG

UMass Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Daniel Alexander Jencko
SuperElit 2023-24
0.61
actual FR PPG at UMass
Bobby Trivigno
USHL 2017-18
0.72
actual FR PPG at UMass
Dans Locmelis
SuperElit 2022-23
0.47
actual FR PPG at UMass
Josh Lopina
USHL 2019-20
0.79
actual FR PPG at UMass

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.