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Lucas Thorne Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-03-05 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 60 15 25 40 0.667 0.2236 0.2253 0.6170 0.6217
2018-19 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 59 20 21 41 0.695 0.2331 0.2236 0.6431 0.6168
2019-20 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 53 30 51 81 1.528 0.5126 0.5126 1.4143 1.4143
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Holy Cross D1 AHA SR 33 2 6 8 0.242
2022-23 Holy Cross D1 AHA JR 36 5 6 11 0.306
2021-22 Holy Cross D1 AHA SO 35 7 10 17 0.486
2020-21 Holy Cross D1 AHA FR 7 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11952
Forward overall
#531
Forward born in 1999
#158
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gage Hough
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Evan Janssen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Denver (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Matt Kroska
St. Olaf · 2012-13
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
John Doyle
SUNY Morrisville · 2011-12
0.875 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Steven Sleep
St. Norbert · 2003-04
0.516 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.