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Michael Fairfax Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-03-04 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Salisbury School NE-Prep 29 4 6 10 0.345 0.0665 0.0665 0.1578 0.1578
2019-20 Salisbury School NE-Prep 28 4 9 13 0.464 0.0896 0.0896 0.2125 0.2125
2020-21 New Jersey Rockets NCDC 10 1 4 5 0.500 0.1155 0.1155 0.9268 0.9268
2021-22 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 43 6 14 20 0.465 0.1560 0.1424 0.4311 0.3937
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Middlebury D3 NESCAC SR 17 1 2 3 0.176
2024-25 Middlebury D3 NESCAC JR 17 1 0 1 0.059
2023-24 Middlebury D3 NESCAC SO 20 2 1 3 0.150
2022-23 Middlebury D3 NESCAC FR 22 0 5 5 0.227
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2022-23 · Middlebury
+119.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
60%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#29930
Forward overall
#1575
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Tyler Romasco
Wisconsin-Eau Claire · 2007-08
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Andy Yarber
Wentworth · 2009-10
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Trey Gardner
Wisconsin-Stout · 2014-15
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.