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Simon Diaz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-14 Country: Canada
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Fort McMurray Oil Barons AJHL 42 2 10 12 0.286 0.0958 0.0972 0.2648 0.2686
2022-23 Fort McMurray Oil Barons AJHL 58 3 10 13 0.224 0.0752 0.0726 0.2077 0.2004
2023-24 Fort McMurray Oil Barons AJHL 31 2 8 10 0.323 0.1082 0.0993 0.2990 0.2744
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Aurora D3 NCHA SO 32 5 21 26 0.812
2024-25 Aurora D3 NCHA — 30 0 19 19 0.633
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.08
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.63
2024-25 · Aurora
+656.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14299
Defenseman overall
#2716
Defenseman born in 2003
#1689
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Vinny Muchalla
Wentworth · 2008-09
0.412 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Miller
UMass Dartmouth · 2018-19
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Merritt
Buffalo State · 2005-06
0.542 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.