IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Justin Merritt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1985-03-10 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2002-03 Brampton Capitals OJHL 49 8 18 26 0.531 0.1301 0.1337 0.3653 0.3755
2003-04 Hamilton Red Wings OJHL 27 3 11 14 0.518 0.1271 0.1249 0.3570 0.3509
2004-05 Hamilton Red Wings OJHL 41 4 16 20 0.488 0.1196 0.1115 0.3359 0.3132
2005-06 Hamilton Red Wings OJHL 34 3 14 17 0.500 0.1226 0.1098 0.3443 0.3084
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC JR 26 1 5 6 0.231
2007-08 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC SO 15 0 3 3 0.200
2006-07 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC FR 24 3 10 13 0.542
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.54
2006-07 · Buffalo State
+419.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#10797
Defenseman overall
#1155
Defenseman born in 1985
#2214
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Rylan Burns
Amherst · 2004-05
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Jared Domin
Adrian · 2017-18
0.429 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Seth Reda
Wisconsin-Superior · 2004-05
0.370 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.