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Ryan Duguay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-10-18 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Univ. of Alberta · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — AJHL 49 5 5 10 0.204 0.0685 0.0715 0.1889 0.1973
2022-23 Melfort Mustangs SJHL 39 13 24 37 0.949 0.2431 0.2453 0.7151 0.7214
2023-24 Melfort Mustangs SJHL 34 26 26 52 1.529 0.3918 0.3767 1.1529 1.1083
2025-26 Univ. of Alberta USports-M 22 2 6 8 0.364 0.1918 0.2004 1.0657 1.1136
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Northern Michigan D1 CCHA — 24 6 2 8 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2024-25 · Northern Michigan
+20.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
98%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#15696
Forward overall
#777
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Shaquille Merasty
Adrian · 2014-15
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
George Thurston
Southern New Hampshire · 2018-19
0.909 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Reed
Curry · 2010-11
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.