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Matthew Roy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-12-04 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Bonnyville Pontiacs AJHL 39 0 9 9 0.231 0.0774 0.0813 0.2139 0.2248
2022-23 Collingwood Blues OJHL 48 2 12 14 0.292 0.0715 0.0712 0.1997 0.1989
2023-24 Navan Grads CCHL 50 7 36 43 0.860 0.1865 0.1774 0.6657 0.6331
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC — 9 0 2 2 0.222
2024-25 Bowdoin D3 NESCAC — 16 1 3 4 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2024-25 · Bowdoin
+96.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8789
Defenseman overall
#2005
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Brandon Kirk
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Dartmouth
0.17 No data
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Patrick Koudys
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ RPI (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Taki Pantziris
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Brown
0.15 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matt Van Voorhis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Colin Larkin
UMass Boston · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Parks
Finlandia · 2003-04
1.208 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Ladzinski
Franklin Pierce · 2018-19
0.387 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.