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Chase Stefanek Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-08-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Trail Smoke Eaters BCHL 54 12 23 35 0.648 0.2414 0.2629 0.9443 1.0284
2024-25 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 50 13 17 30 0.600 0.3688 0.3732 1.7677 1.7889
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Harvard D1 ECAC FR 21 3 3 6 0.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2025-26 · Harvard
1.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14201
Forward overall
#559
Forward born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Grant Besse
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jarrid Privitera
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Vermont (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Montgomery
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha
0.35 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Craig Kennedy
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.353 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Colin Bella
Lake Forest · 2021-22
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.