IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Sammy Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-09-19 Country: USA
Notre Dame
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 — NTDP-U18 60 18 16 34 0.567 0.4212 0.4407 2.1146 2.2123
2025-26 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 59 27 27 54 0.915 0.6803 0.6745 3.4154 3.3864
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

98%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4819
Forward overall
#22
Forward born in 2008

D1 Comparables

Austin Poganski
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Average
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Compher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.96 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Moore
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Strong
NCAAe PPG

Notre Dame Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Cam Morrison
USHL 2015-16
0.60
actual FR PPG at Notre Dame
Danny Nelson
NTDP-U18 2022-23
0.77
actual FR PPG at Notre Dame
Grant Silianoff
USHL 2017-18
0.29
actual FR PPG at Notre Dame
Maddox Fleming
NTDP-U18 2020-21
0.34
actual FR PPG at Notre Dame

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.