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Clay Ellerbrock Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-04-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Northern Cyclones NCDC 4 0 1 1 0.250 0.0704 0.0697 0.2024 0.2005
2018-19 Neepawa Titans MJHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 UMass Dartmouth D3 — SR 21 2 5 7 0.333
2021-22 UMass Dartmouth D3 — JR 15 2 3 5 0.333
2020-21 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast SO 3 0 2 2 0.667
2019-20 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast FR 9 1 3 4 0.444
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.06
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.44
2019-20 · UMass Dartmouth
+643.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
90%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24874
Forward overall
#1022
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

Mike Robinson
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.19 PPG
→ New Hampshire
0.11 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Dau
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Air Force (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jordan Strand
St. Norbert · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Clayton Chessa
Concordia Wisconsin · 2010-11
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Adam Holmgren
St. John's · 2000-01
0.556 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.