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Clay Ellerbrock Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-04-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Northern Cyclones NCDC 4 0 1 1 0.250 0.1019 0.1009 0.2009 0.1990
2018-19 Neepawa Titans MJHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast SR 21 2 5 7 0.333
2021-22 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast JR 15 2 3 5 0.333
2020-21 UMass Dartmouth D1 HockeyEast SO 3 0 2 2 0.667
2020-21 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast SO 3 0 2 2 0.667
2019-20 UMass Dartmouth D1 HockeyEast FR 9 1 3 4 0.444
2019-20 UMass Dartmouth D3 HockeyEast FR 9 1 3 4 0.444
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.44
2019-20 · UMass Dartmouth
+414.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
88%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#18956
Forward overall
#902
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

William Messa
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Austin Cook
Albertus Magnus · 2021-22
0.611 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Badham
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.250 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Jordan Strand
St. Norbert · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.