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Nicholas Frederick Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-09-18 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Timmins Rock NOJHL 33 9 15 24 0.727 0.1215 0.1192 0.3028 0.2970
2022-23 Timmins Rock NOJHL 55 20 35 55 1.000 0.1670 0.1566 0.4163 0.3904
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Anna Maria D3 MASCAC GR 7 0 2 2 0.286
2024-25 Anna Maria D3 MASCAC SR 21 1 4 5 0.238
2023-24 Anna Maria D3 MASCAC JR 25 3 4 7 0.280
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.28
2023-24 · Anna Maria
+131.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
60%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26739
Forward overall
#1521
Forward born in 2002
#242
in NOJHL

D1 Comparables

Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dondre Watson
Marian · 2016-17
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Colby Seitz
SUNY Cortland · 2021-22
0.957 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Kyle Haines
SUNY Cortland · 2007-08
0.818 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.