IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Brett Sabel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-02-03 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Virden Oil Capitals MJHL 55 5 7 12 0.218 0.0420 0.0428 0.1375 0.1400
2023-24 Virden Oil Capitals MJHL 55 7 15 22 0.400 0.0770 0.0743 0.2521 0.2434
2024-25 Virden Oil Capitals MJHL 56 10 17 27 0.482 0.0928 0.0845 0.3038 0.2766
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Marian D3 NCHA FR 14 1 0 1 0.071
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.07
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.07
2025-26 · Marian
3.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#44922
Forward overall
#3010
Forward born in 2004
#1181
in MJHL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Craig Carlyle
SUNY Brockport · 2004-05
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Mark Knowlton
Trinity · 2014-15
0.444 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Trevor Johnson
Framingham State · 2002-03
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.