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Troy Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-05-22 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 New Hampshire Jr. Monarchs EHL 10 0 0 0 0.000
2016-17 New Hampshire Jr. Monarchs EHL 47 9 16 25 0.532 0.1229 0.1238 0.2603 0.2623
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Lake Forest D1 NCHA SR 6 0 3 3 0.500
2020-21 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SR 6 0 3 3 0.500
2019-20 Lake Forest D1 NCHA JR 27 5 4 9 0.333
2019-20 Lake Forest D3 NCHA JR 27 5 4 9 0.333
2018-19 Lake Forest D1 NCHA SO 28 3 7 10 0.357
2018-19 Lake Forest D3 NCHA SO 28 3 7 10 0.357
2017-18 Lake Forest D3 NCHA FR 23 1 2 3 0.130
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.13
2017-18 · Lake Forest
+23.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#40400
Forward overall
#1966
Forward born in 1997
#1616
in EHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Northeastern
0.12 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Connecticut College · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2004-05
0.375 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Manhattanville · 2000-01
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.