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Ethan Nitkin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-06-06 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Portland Jr. Pirates USPHL-Premier-Classic 15 5 3 8 0.533 0.1601 0.1696 0.4393 0.4653
2016-17 Islanders Hockey Club USPHL-Premier-Classic 24 2 6 8 0.333 0.1001 0.1012 0.2745 0.2774
2017-18 South Shore Kings NCDC 43 13 26 39 0.907 0.2556 0.2421 0.7343 0.6954
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 UMass Boston D3 NEHC SR 26 17 14 31 1.192
2019-20 UMass Boston D3 HockeyEast SO 25 12 11 23 0.920
2018-19 UMass Boston D3 HockeyEast FR 23 10 5 15 0.652
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.65
2018-19 · UMass Boston
+310.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#22255
Forward overall
#944
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Clint Carlisle
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ Army (0.52 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cody Marooney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Bradley Duwe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Colton Alexander
Canton · 2024-25
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Rob Sgarbossa
Morrisville · 2006-07
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt McCann
Norwich · 2008-09
0.632 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.