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Ethan Nitkin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-06-06 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Portland Jr. Pirates USPHL-Premier-Classic 15 5 3 8 0.533 0.1497 0.1586 0.4385 0.4645
2016-17 Islanders Hockey Club USPHL-Premier-Classic 24 2 6 8 0.333 0.0936 0.0946 0.2740 0.2769
2017-18 South Shore Kings NCDC 43 13 26 39 0.907 0.3698 0.3502 0.7290 0.6904
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 UMass Boston D3 NEHC SR 26 17 14 31 1.192
2019-20 UMass Boston D1 NEHC SO 25 12 11 23 0.920
2019-20 UMass Boston D3 NEHC SO 25 12 11 23 0.920
2018-19 UMass Boston D1 NEHC FR 23 10 5 15 0.652
2018-19 UMass Boston D3 NEHC FR 23 10 5 15 0.652
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.65
2018-19 · UMass Boston
+207.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14714
Forward overall
#655
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Rob Sgarbossa
SUNY Morrisville · 2006-07
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt McCann
Norwich · 2008-09
0.632 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Zdanowicz
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.