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Justin Hess Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-03-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Nepean Raiders CCHL 48 7 14 21 0.438 0.0949 0.0963 0.3385 0.3436
2016-17 Caledon Admirals OJHL 25 2 3 5 0.200 0.0490 0.0468 0.1377 0.1315
2017-18 New Hampshire Avalanche EHL 35 16 12 28 0.800 0.1848 0.1745 0.3914 0.3695
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2018-19 Nazareth D1 UCHC FR 2 0 0 0 0.000
2018-19 Nazareth D3 UCHC 2 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#29489
Forward overall
#1354
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Utica · 2006-07
0.783 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lebanon Valley · 2018-19
0.286 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Concordia (WI) · 2021-22
0.286 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.