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Adam Keyes Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-02-04 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 25 3 12 15 0.600 0.1676 0.1511 0.4141 0.3733
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Aurora D3 NCHA SR 27 13 22 35 1.296
2021-22 Aurora D3 NCHA JR 27 9 24 33 1.222
2020-21 Aurora D3 NCHA SO 11 7 5 12 1.091
2019-20 Aurora D3 NCHA FR 27 11 23 34 1.259
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.26
2019-20 · Aurora
+873.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
25%
NCAA D2/D3
72%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24756
Forward overall
#1017
Forward born in 1998
#2055
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ricky DeRosa
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Penn State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
Aidan Cavallini
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Bradley Duwe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Vincent Crivello
Nichols · 2015-16
0.700 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex O'Dowd
Franklin Pierce · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael McChesney
St. Norbert · 2018-19
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.