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Lucas Rothe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-01-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Syracuse Jr. Stars USPHL-Elite 42 9 19 28 0.667 0.0615 0.0625 0.1527 0.1551
2017-18 Utica Jr. Comets USPHL-Premier 41 11 18 29 0.707 0.0925 0.0896 0.2401 0.2326
2018-19 Soo Eagles NOJHL 36 4 6 10 0.278 0.0464 0.0421 0.1156 0.1049
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Chatham D3 UCHC GR 24 5 3 8 0.333
2022-23 Chatham D3 UCHC SR 15 1 6 7 0.467
2021-22 Chatham D3 UCHC JR 18 2 0 2 0.111
2020-21 Chatham D1 UCHC SO 13 4 1 5 0.385
2020-21 Chatham D3 UCHC SO 13 4 1 5 0.385
2019-20 Chatham D1 UCHC FR 19 3 1 4 0.210
2019-20 Chatham D3 UCHC FR 19 3 1 4 0.210
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.05
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2019-20 · Chatham
+302.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
85%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#40491
Forward overall
#2119
Forward born in 1998

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

A.J. Duggan
Buffalo State · 2014-15
0.167 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Edward Ziegenfuss
Fitchburg State · 2015-16
0.143 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Keaton Lipsett
Aurora · 2023-24
0.316 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.