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Keaton Lipsett Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-02-03 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — NAHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 Mercer Chiefs NCDC 43 13 18 31 0.721 0.1666 0.1642 — —
2023-24 Maryland Black Bears NAHL 36 0 12 12 0.333 0.1184 0.1106 0.3499 0.3268
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Aurora D3 NCHA SO 24 0 4 4 0.167
2024-25 Aurora D3 NCHA — 19 2 4 6 0.316
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2024-25 · Aurora
+153.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
12%
NCAA D2/D3
42%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4602
Defenseman overall
#1172
Defenseman born in 2003
#1566
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Taeron Lewis
Norwich · 2015-16
0.269 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Ian Nichols
Hamilton · 2014-15
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Turner Richards
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2024-25
0.421 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.