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Matthew Loftus Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-06-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Hartford Jr. Wolfpack USPHL-Elite 40 25 17 42 1.050 0.0969 0.1004 0.2405 0.2493
2018-19 Connecticut Nighthawks USPHL-Premier 43 7 3 10 0.233 0.0304 0.0315 0.0789 0.0816
2019-20 Connecticut Nighthawks USPHL-Premier 42 22 27 49 1.167 0.1526 0.1526 0.3960 0.3960
2020-21 Connecticut Nor'Easter EHL 38 14 21 35 0.921 0.2128 0.2128 0.4507 0.4507
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Rivier D3 MASCAC 3 1 0 1 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.05
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2021-22 · Rivier
+558.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
98%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17446
Forward overall
#772
Forward born in 2000

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.14 PPG
→ Bentley (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.08 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.30 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.03 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

University of New England · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2010-11
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2013-14
0.150 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.