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Justin Guelph Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-05-15 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Jersey Shore Whalers USPHL-Premier 2 0 2 2 1.000 0.1308 0.1413 0.3394 0.3667
2020-21 — USPHL-Premier 39 14 21 35 0.897 0.1174 0.1174 0.3046 0.3046
2021-22 Express Hockey Club EHL 44 17 20 37 0.841 0.1942 0.1875 0.4115 0.3973
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Fredonia D3 SUNYAC FR 11 1 0 1 0.091
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.09
2022-23 · Fredonia
-37.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16636
Forward overall
#782
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Thomas Dunn
Fredonia · 2015-16
0.429 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Derton
St. Norbert · 2002-03
0.633 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicholas Keck
SUNY Potsdam · 2015-16
0.526 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.