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Luca Marcellitti Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2001-01-24 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 — OJHL 51 0 8 8 0.157 0.0385 0.0385 0.1074 0.1074
2020-21 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 53 4 22 26 0.491 0.1202 0.1087 0.3358 0.3036
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Marian D3 NCHA SR 18 0 2 2 0.111
2024-25 Marian D3 NCHA JR 25 2 2 4 0.160
2023-24 Marian D3 NCHA SO 17 1 4 5 0.294
2022-23 Marian D3 NCHA FR 23 1 0 1 0.043
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.10
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.04
2022-23 · Marian
-57.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16059
Defenseman overall
#2640
Defenseman born in 2001
#3215
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nicholas Favaro
Curry · 2018-19
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Mitch Hall
Hamline · 2013-14
0.414 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Steven Leonard
UMass Dartmouth · 2015-16
0.480 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.