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Justin Baker Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1991-07-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2007-08 Streetsville Derbys (OLD) OJHL 24 2 19 21 0.875 0.2145 0.2396 0.6024 0.6728
2008-09 Streetsville Derbys (OLD) OJHL 48 17 60 77 1.604 0.3932 0.4190 1.1045 1.1769
2009-10 Streetsville Derbys (OLD) OJHL 47 24 56 80 1.702 0.4172 0.4227 1.1719 1.1872
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2013-14 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC SR 38 9 24 33 0.868
2012-13 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC JR 38 5 21 26 0.684
2011-12 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC SO 31 3 8 11 0.355
2010-11 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC FR 36 2 10 12 0.333
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.40
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.33
2010-11 · St. Lawrence
-16.2% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#1507
Defenseman overall
#320
Defenseman born in 1991
#73
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Ian Brady
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.64 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Kapla
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Taylor McCloy
Adrian · 2011-12
1.500 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Dustin Norman
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2002-03
0.850 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Craig Levey
Hobart · 2000-01
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.