IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Nolan Roche Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-08-07 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Andover NE-Prep 27 4 13 17 0.630 0.1247 0.1247 0.2868 0.2868
2022-23 Andover NE-Prep 25 9 17 26 1.040 0.2060 0.2060 0.4738 0.4738
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Wesleyan D3 NESCAC SR 8 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Wesleyan D3 NESCAC JR 12 0 0 0 0.000
2023-24 Wesleyan D3 NESCAC SO 8 0 1 1 0.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2023-24 · Wesleyan
-15.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
45%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21448
Forward overall
#1124
Forward born in 2003
#194
in NE-Prep

D1 Comparables

Thomas Ebbing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Michigan State (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ian Mansfield
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Army (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Horton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mitch Hults
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Josh Keizer
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2008-09
1.069 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Shane Shell
Hobart · 2018-19
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mac Balson
Buffalo State · 2009-10
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.