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Luke Festa Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-05-08 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Hebron NE-Prep 30 8 11 19 0.633 0.1255 0.1255 0.2885 0.2885
2022-23 Connecticut RoughRiders EHL 44 7 13 20 0.455 0.1050 0.1063 0.2224 0.2252
2023-24 Connecticut RoughRiders EHL 32 10 25 35 1.094 0.2527 0.2431 0.5352 0.5149
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Keene State D3 LittleEast SO 18 3 3 6 0.333
2024-25 Keene State D3 LittleEast 19 6 5 11 0.579
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.58
2024-25 · Keene State
+258.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19669
Forward overall
#1011
Forward born in 2003

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Morrisville · 2009-10
0.708 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Norbert · 2021-22
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Salem State · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.